Apollo Energy publish a daily energy market analysis, focusing on the gas, power and oil markets, including a commentary on how the markets close and open. Our analysis provides insight on what is currently affecting the market and also considers various factors which could dictate price changes in the future.
The report also contains a graph which tracks the one-year forward price of both gas & electricity as well as changes to Brent crude oil.
Prompt gas contracts were supported by an increase in gas-fired power generation and a rise in exports to Belgium. Maintenance at the Mallnow entry point limited Russian gas flows into Europe which tightened gas systems on the continent, with Norwegian imports also lower than previous sessions. Further along the curve, movement was generally bearish with Monday’s news in regards to Rough’s withdrawal rate continuing to influence the Winter-16 contract.
Twenty storage wells are to be made available for withdrawals at Centrica’s Rough facility from the 1st of November; easing supply concerns.
News that the 20 wells would be available at the Rough storage facility from the 1st of November helped the Winter-16 contract shed from its price yesterday. The losses filtered through to the far-curve with the help of weakening Brent. At the front of the curve, prices also moved down in the afternoon with the exception of the prompt following a bullish opening caused by an undersupplied system.
Gas contracts moved down on Friday as the Nord Stream interconnector returned online as seasonal maintenance was completed. In terms of the UK, healthy levels of wind power resulted in reduced coal-fired power generation, while UKCS production also improved, contributing to a long gas system.
The UK gas system was short for the majority of yesterday’s session but became balanced in the afternoon which resulted in a downward correction on the near-curve. Prompt prices were also pressured down by an announcement that the Nord Stream interconnector between Russia and Germany would return online today. Contracts further along the curve also displayed small losses on the back of currency movements, ignoring a rise in Brent.