Apollo Energy publishes a daily energy market analysis, focusing on the gas, power and oil markets including a commentary on how the markets close and open. Our analysis provides insight on how the markets are performing and also considers various factors which could dictate price changes in the future.
The analysis also contains a graph which tracks the one-year forward price of both gas and electricity as well as changes to Brent crude oil.
Near-curve gas prices were dictated by unplanned outages yesterday and recorded strong gains despite below average demand levels. Support was also provided by rising fuel costs, with carbon and coal displaying significant upward movement and Brent recovering from losses incurred in the previous session.
Outages in the UKCS and Norway continued to restrict supply levels and provided support to prices at the front of the gas curve yesterday afternoon. The return of the North Morecambe gas field was postponed for another 4 days, while St Fergus was pushed back to tomorrow. Weak demand levels limited the gains, while a rise in EUA carbon prices helped towards increases at the back of the curve.
Gas prices moved down on Friday afternoon as the demand forecast was low and oil and coal markets moved down. Warm temperatures were expected to weigh on residential demand over the weekend and the start of this week. In terms of supply, Norwegian flows were reduced by unplanned outages but exports from the UK to Belgium decreased.
Apollo has been included in the Crown Commercial Service's three-year framework agreement for Energy Management.
The system was tighter yesterday due to unplanned outages which continue to limit Norwegian flows to the UK. The LNG outlook is also weak which resulted in an increase in storage withdrawals. As a result of these supply constraints, prices across the near curve moved higher, while bullish oil prices supported the back of the curve.