Apollo Energy publishes a daily energy market analysis, focusing on the gas, power and oil markets including a commentary on how the markets close and open. Our analysis provides insight on how the markets are performing and also considers various factors which could dictate price changes in the future.
The analysis also contains a graph which tracks the one-year forward price of both gas and electricity as well as changes to Brent crude oil.
A milder weather outlook for the rest of December continued to dictate the near gas curve yesterday as demand levels are set to decrease. Overall movement was bearish despite a tight system caused by the halt in UKCS production. Further out, a rise in coal prices capped some of the losses, while oil was almost unchanged.
Gas prices moved down on Friday following a volatile week, with downward pressure provided by a milder weather forecast for the start of this week. Supply fears caused by the Forties shutdown also eased, helping towards losses on the near-curve. Meanwhile, movement further along the curve was more subdued as coal and oil markets stabilised.
The BBL pipeline currently only transports gas from the Netherlands to the UK but it has been announced that modifications will be made to send gas in both directions.
Gas prices initially opened lower yesterday on the back of a milder weather outlook for next week, the resumption of flows at Baumgarten and the return of the Troll processing facility in Norway. However, a fresh outage in Norway and the closure of the Forties pipeline provided support in the afternoon, helped by a rebound on coal and oil markets.
Flows at Baumgarten resumed within 24 hours following the explosion on Tuesday, while it was confirmed the Forties Pipeline would be offline for 2 weeks, resulting in downward movement on the gas curve. The system was 40mcm short but the Troll facility was expected to return today, with milder weather forecast for next week, limiting the effects of short supply.