Apollo Energy publishes a daily energy market analysis, focusing on the gas, power and oil markets including a commentary on how the markets close and open. Our analysis provides insight on how the markets are performing and also considers various factors which could dictate price changes in the future.
The analysis also contains a graph which tracks the one-year forward price of both gas and electricity as well as changes to Brent crude oil.
A milder weather forecast for the rest of this month helped to weigh on near-curve gas contracts yesterday. Additional bearish pressure was provided by healthy Norwegian supply as two unplanned outages were resolved, however, a weaker Pound restricted the losses somewhat.
Two unplanned outages restricted export capacity in Norway on Friday which contributed to a volatile European market but UK gas prices moved down as traders cashed in on profits following strong gains at the start of the week. Further out, contracts were also pressured down by weaker coal and oil markets.
Gas prices moved down yesterday afternoon as traders cashed in on profits following strong gains earlier in the week. However, fundamentals were bullish as a significant drop in temperatures is expected next week which will push residential demand higher. The LNG outlook is also weak, while withdrawals at the Rough storage facility are 10mcm lower due to an ongoing outage.
Despite a mild weather outlook for the next week or so, extremely cold temperatures are set to hit Europe later in the month, leading to a surge in demand. Weaker wind levels will also increase the UKâ€™s reliance on CCGT generation, with rising fuel prices also assisting the bulls during yesterdayâ€™s session.