Apollo Energy publishes a daily energy market analysis, focusing on the gas, power and oil markets including a commentary on how the markets close and open. Our analysis provides insight on how the markets are performing and also considers various factors which could dictate price changes in the future.
The analysis also contains a graph which tracks the one-year forward price of both gas and electricity as well as changes to Brent crude oil.
Gas prices decreased on Thursday as a result of weaker demand levels and improved LNG send-outs. Demand was pushed down by a rise in wind power, while LNG send-outs at the Dutch Gate terminal reached a 6-month high. Meanwhile, falling commodity markets continued to weigh on the back of the curve.
A drop in demand thanks to healthy renewable power levels and warm weather resulted in losses on the near-curve yesterday. LNG send-outs also increased, rising to 144mm cm, compared to the September average of 85 mm cm, with a number of deliveries expected to dock in Europe this month.
A warm weather outlook across Europe weighed on near-curve gas prices yesterday, with some parts of the continent expected to see temperatures 7°C above the seasonal norm. A rise in LNG send-outs is also expected, while coal and carbon markets moved down, resulting in losses at the back of the curve.
Gas prices closed at a discount on Monday, with the prompt showing the strongest loss thanks to a mild weather forecast and comfortable wind generation which will reduce demand today. The system was also oversupplied and coal & oil markets moved down, adding to the bearish sentiment.