Apollo Energy publishes a daily energy market analysis, focusing on the gas, power and oil markets including a commentary on how the markets close and open. Our analysis provides insight on how the markets are performing and also considers various factors which could dictate price changes in the future.
The analysis also contains a graph which tracks the one-year forward price of both gas and electricity as well as changes to Brent crude oil.
Gas contracts initially opened higher on Monday on the back of weak LNG send-outs and a colder weather forecast for next week. However, a sharp rise in Norwegian imports via the Langeled pipeline in the afternoon resulted in an oversupplied system and erased some of the morningâ€™s gains. The downward movement further along the curve was slightly restricted by a drop in the Pound and rising oil prices.
Gas prices displayed a slight decrease on Friday afternoon as a result of an expected rise in Norwegian flows this week following the end of seasonal maintenance. Temperatures were also forecast to be rather mild during October which could weigh on demand levels. Further out, a downward correction in oil prices provided additional bearish pressure for some contracts.
Gas prices posted gains on Thursday ahead of the expiration of a number of contracts, with strong upward movement on the commodity market also a key factor. Oil prices increased on the back of Wednesdayâ€™s announcement in regards to production cuts which supported the far-curve. A weaker supply picture also provided bullish pressure at the front of the curve following another drop in Norwegian flows, while a weaker wind forecast will result in higher gas-fired power generation.
Unplanned outages at Norwegian facilities resulted in bullish movement on the near gas curve yesterday afternoon; maintenance at the Skarv field has reduced export capacity in Norway by 10mcm. Further out, contracts found support from a jump in oil prices as it was announced that major oil producers have agreed to production cuts.
OPEC members have agreed to a preliminary deal to cut output for the first time in eight years which has resulted in increased oil prices.