Apollo Energy publishes a daily energy market analysis, focusing on the gas, power and oil markets including a commentary on how the markets close and open. Our analysis provides insight on how the markets are performing and also considers various factors which could dictate price changes in the future.
The analysis also contains a graph which tracks the one-year forward price of both gas and electricity as well as changes to Brent crude oil.
Day-Ahead gas opened unchanged at the start of yesterday’s session but quickly lost value thanks to a long system. Improved UKCS production helped towards the oversupply, with flows via the IUK pipeline also strong. High LDZ demand limited losses on the near-curve, while a rise in coal prices continued to lift some contracts further out.
Near-curve gas prices displayed losses yesterday as temperatures are expected to rise above the seasonal norm over the next few days and wind levels have increased slightly; resulting in weaker LDZ and CCGT demand. Meanwhile, movement at back of the curve was minimal due to a stable session for both coal and oil markets.
A milder weather outlook for the rest of December continued to dictate the near gas curve yesterday as demand levels are set to decrease. Overall movement was bearish despite a tight system caused by the halt in UKCS production. Further out, a rise in coal prices capped some of the losses, while oil was almost unchanged.
Gas prices moved down on Friday following a volatile week, with downward pressure provided by a milder weather forecast for the start of this week. Supply fears caused by the Forties shutdown also eased, helping towards losses on the near-curve. Meanwhile, movement further along the curve was more subdued as coal and oil markets stabilised.