Apollo Energy publishes a daily energy market analysis, focusing on the gas, power and oil markets including a commentary on how the markets close and open. Our analysis provides insight on how the markets are performing and also considers various factors which could dictate price changes in the future.
The analysis also contains a graph which tracks the one-year forward price of both gas and electricity as well as changes to Brent crude oil.
An upward revision in the short term weather forecasts helped to weigh on contracts at the front of the gas curve yesterday, with Front-Month and the prompt showing the biggest losses, assisted by a long system. Further out, prices were pressured down by weaker coal and carbon, ignoring a small gain by Brent.
Gas prices eased down on Friday, pressured down by weaker coal, while carbon and oil markets were almost flat. A drop in demand also helped towards a long gas system which helped to weigh on the prompt. Temperatures for the remainder of the month were also revised higher.
Gas prices increased during Thursday’s session with the cold weather outlook acting as the main market driver at the front of the curve, with temperatures expected to fall 2-3°C below the seasonal norm. Meanwhile, a rebound on coal and oil markets offered support to prices on the far-curve.
Far-curve gas prices decreased during Wednesday’s session due to weakening coal, carbon and oil markets. However, prompt prices moved higher on the back of a colder weather outlook which will lift demand levels.
State aid approval for the UK Capacity market has been annulled following a court ruling this afternoon, resulting in a ‘standstill period’.