22nd November 2018 | Posted by: Daniel Birkett | Market Analysis

Gas Power
Market Close Market Close
Gas prices displayed no clear trend yesterday with the prompt and winter contracts showing small gains and far-curve prices moving down slightly. Longer dated contracts ignored rising coal and oil markets, while the near-curve was supported by a higher demand forecast. Power prices moved higher yesterday due to a rise in carbon and a cold weather outlook which will increase heating demand in the UK. A rebound on coal and oil markets offered additional support to the back of the curve but the prompt closed at a premium due to a weak wind generation forecast for today.
Market Open Market Open
An increase in Norwegian flows and healthy LNG send-outs helped to weigh on near-curve contracts this morning, while storage levels are at their highest levels for five years. A sharp drop in wind generation and colder weather has limited any losses on the prompt, while the far-curve has eased down with fuel markets. Prompt power prices have been pressured down by their gas counterparts this morning, with weaker coal, carbon and oil weighing on the far-curve. Temperatures have also been revised slightly higher over the next fortnight which should help concerns regarding the short term supply/ demand outlook.

For a breakdown of the current generation mix visit our Power Generation Insights page.

Brent Summary

Brent 1st-nearby prices displayed an increase yesterday and trade close to $63.5/b, however, the upward correction is thought to be a technical one as overall sentiment remains bearish due optimism in regards to OPEC production cuts.

1-year forward prices

Market close data has revealed that the 1-year forward price for both commercial gas & commercial decreased – closing at 59.25ppt and £59.10/MWh, respectively.

Today’s prices can also be found in an easy to read table on our ‘current UK energy price' page.

Click graph to enlarge

energy price graph - 22-11-2018

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