Gas prices moved higher yesterday afternoon as gas demand increased and wind levels were set to weaken over the coming days. Support was also provided by an earthquake near the Groningen gas facility in Holland. Meanwhile, the far-curve continued to take direction from bullish coal and oil markets.
Near-curve gas prices decreased on Friday as the cold stint at the start of this week is expected to be short-lived and the forecast for the rest of January is mild, resulting in a weaker demand outlook. Supply levels were also healthy with no constraints on Norwegian flows. Oil and coal markets had little impact on the far-curve, with most contracts recording a small loss thanks to a stronger Pound.
LDZ demand increased slightly, while a drop in wind generation led to a sharp rise in CCGT demand on Thursday. However, any upward movement was offset by comfortable supply levels, despite an expected drop in temperatures in the coming days. Further out, contracts found support from bullish coal and oil markets and increased as the session progressed.
A significant rise in wind levels yesterday resulted in a drop in CCGT demand, while residential demand was reduced by milder weather. Meanwhile, the outage at Oseberg was resolved, resulting in a rise in imports to the UK. This increase in Norwegian flows, combined with improved UKCS production contributed to a long system and prices along the near-curve moved down.
Gas prices moved down during yesterday’s session as milder weather is expected over the coming days and supply levels are comfortable. UKCS has recovered as the Forties pipeline was expected to be fully operational today, resulting in a long system. However, downward movement further along the curve was limited by stronger coal and oil markets.