Apollo Energy publishes a daily energy market analysis, focusing on the gas, power and oil markets including a commentary on how the markets close and open. Our analysis provides insight on how the markets are performing and also considers various factors which could dictate price changes in the future.
The analysis also contains a graph which tracks the one-year forward price of both gas and electricity as well as changes to Brent crude oil.
Despite a late rally for oil prices, commodity markets were bearish on Wednesday which pressured down gas contracts. A rise in renewable availability will reduce gas-fired power demand, with warmer weather and stronger LNG send-outs also expected; weighing on the near-curve.
Gas prices moved down on Tuesday with most decreases thought to be technical, with a lot of contracts close to their resistance levels. Supply levels also improved later in the day as unplanned outages in Norway were resolved, balancing the system.
Near-curve gas prices moved higher yesterday due to an undersupplied system, as an unplanned outage limited flows to the UK. Meanwhile, any changes on the near-curve were minor as coal and oil markets weakened, offering resistance to the bulls.
Despite a late rally towards the end of the session, gas prices ended the day at a discount on Friday. The front of the curve found direction from a milder weather outlook this week which will weigh on demand, with a slight rise in renewables expected today. Further out, prices stabilised as bullish oil offered resistance, with coal and carbon also displaying minor gains.