An outage in Norway and a drop in flows via the BBL pipeline tightened the UK system yesterday and limited any downward movement at the front of the curve. Bearish pressure was provided by the expected drop in LDZ demand next week and far-curve prices stabilised with little support provided by fuel markets.
Bearish movement could be observed across the gas curve on Wednesday, with comfortable supply levels and a milder weather outlook weighing on prices at the front of the curve. Meanwhile, the Pound strengthened against the Euro, helping towards downward movement at the back of the curve.
Temperatures were revised higher for the rest of January which resulted in losses at the front of the gas curve yesterday. Supply levels were comfortable and the system remained long despite above average demand levels, with strong wind reducing CCGT demand. Further out, contracts tracked the downward movement displayed on the oil market.
A milder weather outlook for the remainder of January helped to apply bearish pressure across the near gas curve yesterday. Wind levels were also set to remain high today, weighing on the prompt as gas-fired generation was forecast to fall. Movement further along the curve was generally stable as coal and oil markets were almost unchanged.
Gas prices moved higher on Friday as temperature forecasts were revised down for the next couple of weeks which will lead to a rise in residential demand. Production at the Groningen facility in Holland was also reduced, with further sanctions a possibility following the recent earthquake. Meanwhile, far-curve contracts continued to find support from a bullish oil market.