2nd April 2019 | Posted by: Daniel Birkett | Market Analysis

Gas Power
Market Close Market Close
The first day of summer trading saw numerous losses on the gas curve yesterday, with an oversupplied system weighing on spot prices. A healthy LNG outlook provided additional bearish pressure, although a rise in oil markets limited downward movement further out. Power prices traded down on Monday with direction provided by weaker coal and gas markets, ignoring a slight rise in carbon and bullish oil. An expected drop in renewables today offered support to the prompt but a warmer weather forecast weighed on the rest of the near-curve.
Market Close Market Close
The UK gas system remains long this morning despite a slight drop in Norwegian and Russian flows into Europe. Near-curve gas prices display further losses on the back of this oversupply, with milder weather and stronger LNG send-outs also expected this week. Coal and gas markets continue to decrease this morning which has resulted in further losses on the power curve, while carbon contracts have also weakened. The short term supply/ demand outlook is comfortable which also assisted the bears.

For a breakdown of the current generation mix visit our Power Generation Insights page.

Brent Summary

Brent 1st-nearby prices have increased by around $1.4/b since yesterday’s open as OPEC production figures for March provided strong support, with on-going problems in Venezuela and potential sanctions on Iran also bullish factors.

1-year forward prices

Market close data has revealed that the 1-year forward price for both commercial gas & commercial electricity decreased – closing at 46.69ppt and £50.20/MWh, respectively.

Today’s prices can also be found in an easy to read table on our ‘current UK energy price' page.

Click graph to enlarge

energy price graph - 02-04-2019

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