17th October 2016 | Posted by: Daniel Birkett | Market Analysis

Gas Power
Market Close Market Close
Gas prices moved higher on Friday with direction coming from an expected drop in temperatures and weak LNG send-outs. LNG flows have been weak throughout October due to a lack of deliveries from Qatar, while a drop in UK storage also offered support to winter contracts. A below average demand forecast for the weekend and today helped to limit gains on the prompt, while rising coal and oil pushed far-curve contracts higher. Power contracts were pushed higher by their strengthening gas counterparts on Friday, with a colder weather outlook and weak renewable generation also supportive factors. Meanwhile, an increase in coal and oil provided additional bullish pressure further out.
Market Open Market Open
Temperatures were revised down over the weekend and demand levels are expected to increase over the next 10 days, offering support to the near-curve this morning. However, the UK gas system is in strong supply thanks to healthy Norwegian imports, stronger Dutch supply and a drop exports to Belgium; limiting gains on the prompt. Movement further along the curve is minimal with another increase in coal cancelling out the impact of falling Brent. The majority of power contracts display gains this morning with the Day-Ahead contract one of the few exceptions as it recorded a significant loss. Further out, a falling oil market has helped to pressure down some contracts, with rising coal and colder temperatures supporting prices in between.

Brent Summary

Brent 1st-nearby prices have moved down this morning with bearish pressure coming from a higher rig count in the US and a stronger Dollar. Meanwhile, traders await the outcome of negotiations between Russia and OPEC in regards to cutting production.

1-year forward prices

Market close data has revealed that the 1-year forward price for both commercial gas & commercial electricity increased - closing at 45.85ppt and £47.72/MWh, respectively.

Today's prices can also be found in an easy to read table on our 'current UK energy price' page.

Click graph to enlarge

energy price graph - 17-10-2016

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