Apollo Energy publishes a daily energy market analysis, focusing on the gas, power and oil markets including a commentary on how the markets close and open. Our analysis provides insight on how the markets are performing and also considers various factors which could dictate price changes in the future.
The analysis also contains a graph which tracks the one-year forward price of both gas and electricity as well as changes to Brent crude oil.
Gas prices increased yesterday morning as a number of unplanned outages reduced flows into the UK, however there was some downward movement in the afternoon as storage withdrawals helped to balance the system. The gains were more prominent on the far-curve rather than the prompt with further upward pressure coming from rising Brent.
Low wind production resulted in a rise in gas-fired power generation on Tuesday which lifted demand levels, leading to a series of gains across the near gas curve. However, contracts further along the curve continued to soften with a bearish oil market the main influencing factor.
The UK gas system was balanced yesterday despite a drop in LNG send-outs as the Bacton Seal terminal returned online which improved UK production; this helped contracts across the near-curve post losses. Contracts also softened further along the curve as oil and coal prices displayed a decrease.
The gas curve displayed mixed movement on Friday as there was little change to fundamentals and the market volatility caused by Thursdayâ€™s ECB meeting settled down. The UK gas system opened long which helped contracts on the near-curve shed from their price, while strong Brent resulted in some gains further out.