Apollo Energy publishes a daily energy market analysis, focusing on the gas, power and oil markets including a commentary on how the markets close and open. Our analysis provides insight on how the markets are performing and also considers various factors which could dictate price changes in the future.
The analysis also contains a graph which tracks the one-year forward price of both gas and electricity as well as changes to Brent crude oil.
Experts at EDF predict that non-energy costs are expected to rise by almost 20% in 2018-19, with Contracts for Difference, Renewable Obligation and Capacity Market supplier charges showing the most significant changes.
Gas prices posted strong gains yesterday due to freezing temperatures which have tightened systems across Europe. Numerous outages have also occurred, providing further support, with some contracts in the UK almost doubling in price. However, movement at the back of the curve was bearish due to weakening coal and oil markets.
Gas prices posted gains yesterday despite a bearish opening as strong demand, caused by very cold temperatures dictated the near-curve. However, milder weather is expected towards the end of next week which limited the gains. Contracts at the back of the curve moved in the opposite direction on the back of weaker coal and oil markets.
Near-curve gas prices recorded significant losses yesterday following an upward revision in temperatures for the start of March which sparked a sell-off. Temperatures are expected to remain very cold this week across Europe, limiting some of the downward movement, while a rise in Brent offset the effects of weaker coal at the back of the curve.
The expected drop in temperatures across Europe this week resulted in strong upward movement across the near gas curve on Friday. The prompt recorded a strong gain due to the higher demand outlook with healthy renewables having little impact. Meanwhile, a drop in coal prices helped far-curve prices stabilise despite a jump in Brent.