Apollo Energy publishes a daily energy market analysis, focusing on the gas, power and oil markets including a commentary on how the markets close and open. Our analysis provides insight on how the markets are performing and also considers various factors which could dictate price changes in the future.
The analysis also contains a graph which tracks the one-year forward price of both gas and electricity as well as changes to Brent crude oil.
A colder weather forecast for the start of this week forced near curve gas contracts higher on Monday, with maintenance work in Norway also a supportive factor as imports into the UK have dropped. The Euro strengthened against the Pound following the first round of results in the French presidential election, also contributing the gains. However, some contracts on the far-curve recorded a loss with direction coming from a weaker oil market.
Gas prices strengthened on Friday afternoon on the back of a colder weather forecast for this week, with weaker Norwegian flows via the Langeled pipeline also a supportive factor. However, upward movement was less visible on the far-curve as weakening oil helped to weigh on contracts.
21st April 2017 | Posted by: Natalie Ivinson | Market Analysis
European Gas prices continued to soften yesterday as demand is expected to decrease by the end of the week due to milder weather and weaker oil prices. UK day-ahead prices traded lower as demand fell but remained high compared to seasonal norms.
Weaker oil prices helped to weigh on the gas market towards the end of yesterday’s session. Contracts were stable for most of the day following early morning gains which were caused by planned production cuts at the Dutch Groningen facility. Meanwhile, temperatures were forecast to be below average for the remainder of this month, offering further support at the start of the session.
Production at the Groningen gas facility will be cut by 10% in the 2017/18 gas year, falling from 24bcm to 21.6bcm; this resulted in strong upward movement on European markets. Meanwhile, the Pound weakened following Theresa May’s call for a snap election, slightly limiting gains at the front of the curve and offering support to those further out. Temperatures are also expected to remain below average for the rest of April, further contributing to the bullish sentiment.