Apollo Energy publishes a daily energy market analysis, focusing on the gas, power and oil markets including a commentary on how the markets close and open. Our analysis provides insight on how the markets are performing and also considers various factors which could dictate price changes in the future.
The analysis also contains a graph which tracks the one-year forward price of both gas and electricity as well as changes to Brent crude oil.
Near-curve gas contracts decreased on Monday as supply levels improved and helped the system remain long throughout the session, with warmer weather also leading to weaker demand levels. Norwegian imports into the UK via the Langeled pipeline strengthened at the end of last week, while gas stocks are higher than expected. However, bearish movement further along the curve was slightly restricted by rising Brent.
A rising oil market supported contracts on the far gas curve on Friday, with a reported increase in demand fuelling bullish sentiment. Meanwhile, an expected rise in temperatures this week helped to restrict upward movement at the front of the curve, with improved supply levels also contributing to a long system.
Last weekâ€™s statement released by OPEC has fuelled strong bullish movement on the oil market in recent sessions, with crude oil prices displaying their biggest weekly gains since April. OPEC confirmed that talks will be held next month in regards to taking action to stabilise the oil market, with some belief that a freeze on oil output could still materialise, helping Brent climb above $47/b.
The UK gas system was long throughout yesterdayâ€™s session which helped to weigh on near-curve gas prices. The Day-Ahead contract fell to its lowest price in 10 weeks as strong wind generation reduced the nationâ€™s need for gas-fired power generation. Further out, an increase in Brent in the afternoon helped to support some contracts with the help of a weakening Pound Sterling.
Gas contracts inched higher yesterday as a drop in Norwegian flows resulted in a short UK gas system, however gains on the far-curve were slightly restricted by weakening oil contracts. A warmer weather forecast for next week and a scheduled LNG delivery later in the month also helped to hold off the bulls.