Apollo Energy publishes a daily energy market analysis, focusing on the gas, power and oil markets including a commentary on how the markets close and open. Our analysis provides insight on how the markets are performing and also considers various factors which could dictate price changes in the future.
The analysis also contains a graph which tracks the one-year forward price of both gas and electricity as well as changes to Brent crude oil.
Gas prices displayed little movement during Monday’s session as temperatures are expected to turn milder later in the week which will reduce residential demand. However, any downward movement was restricted by outages at Norwegian and UKCS facilities. Further out, the Pound strengthened against the Euro and coal prices weakened, offsetting the effects of rising Brent.
Gas prices moved down yesterday following an upward revision in temperatures for the middle of next week and the remainder of March. The system was also long throughout the session despite weak storage withdrawals and above average residential demand. Further out, a late rally in oil prices and a rebound on the coal market restricted bearish movement.
The UK grid operator has asked for ‘national policy clarity’ in order to support the industry and promote clean growth. The Future of Gas report highlights how gas could be used to provide low carbon heat, transport and industry if clear policies are outlined. It asks for the government to provide direction so gas can “play a crucial role for many decades to come” by decarbonising infrastructure so it can adhere to the nation’s environmental targets.
Near-curve gas prices decreased on Tuesday but were yet to completely erase the strong gains recorded on Monday. Cold temperatures are expected at the start of next week but milder weather is forecast to return before the month is out. A drop in storage withdrawals has tightened supply but flows in general were healthy. Meanwhile, a drop in oil prices provided additional bearish pressure at the back of the curve.